Gold analysis: Q4 2025 lows purged. Waiting for market direction

Analysis done my Muffett.

This is the most important chart. If you see we have drawn a blue line at q4 2025 low. We were watching to see if we can have the purge. This is very critical because price is now under bothe 20 week EMA and 50 week EMA. If price does not rally from here, the 20 EMA will go below over the 50 EMA and this is very bearish. The price has however purged the Q4 2025 LOW AND SO WE ARE WATCHING IF PRICE CAN CLOSE ABOVE THE LAST SWING HIGH ON THE DAILY. IDEALLY WE NEED A CLOSE ABOVE THE 50 DAY EMA FOR PRICE TO BECOME BULLISH.

Here is the daily chart which shows the price purging the weekly line( Q4 2025 low). The price goes below and then closes above it. The price moves has compressed and ready for a breakout. It can go in either direction. Since we are gold bulls, we want the price to go higher. If price can go below the equal lows around $ 3920. But it should not close below this. If it closes below on a daily basis, i think there will be an exaggerated move down below. But if we can close anove the blue line we ahve marked, the price will be above bothe 20 and 50 ema and we can stay bullish on gold. So we will let the market guide us. If prices close below the line, then we will look to close some of our gold miner positions and reenter when price becomes bullish.

It is important to remember that we are in a debt megatrend. The government has to print more and more money, other wise the bubble will collapse and so although we cant fully predict the low, we can say with reasonable confidence that gold will higher than current levels. That’s why its a megatrend and at some point one of the bubbles will burst and then watch out. Be on the gaurd. This is why you have to follow Muffett.

This is what Osho said as well. you have be happy with yourselves and you have to walk the path alone.

May the Peace of the Lord be with you always.

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